Understanding the Weak Yen: A Guide for Jobseekers
Tuesday, May 28, 2024
Implications for the Labor Market and Tips for Foreign Professionals
[Edited: May 29, 2024]
Why the Yen is Weak Compared to the US Dollar
The Japanese yen has significantly weakened against the US dollar in since last year. Several factors contribute to this trend:
Monetary Policy Divergence:
- The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained a very accommodative monetary policy, including negative interest rates and extensive asset purchases, to stimulate the economy.
- In contrast, the US Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates to curb inflation, making US assets more attractive to investors seeking higher returns.
Economic Performance:
- Japan's economic growth has been relatively slow compared to the robust recovery seen in the United States. According to the Covid Economic Recovery Index published by the Horizon Group, the United States is ranked 7 in economic recovery while Japan is 19th on the list. This disparity in economic performance has led to greater demand for the US dollar, further strengthening the value of the dollar.
Trade Balance:
- One of the primary reasons for the fluctuation in Japan's trade balance is the cost of energy imports. Japan imports a significant portion of its energy needs, including oil, natural gas, and coal. High global energy prices led to increased import costs, contributing to trade deficits.
- As Japanese imports increase, the country needs to sell yen on the foreign exchange market, increasing the supply of yen relative to other currencies. Consequently, increased import costs also increase the demand for currencies like the US dollar and the Euro. This imbalance in the currency supply (i.e. excess yen and high demand for the dollar) further devalues the yen and strengthens the dollar.
Investor Sentiment:
- Global uncertainty and risk aversion often lead investors to seek the safety of the US dollar, further strengthening it against other currencies, including the yen.
What a Weak Yen Means for the Labor Market
Export & Tourism Driven Growth:
- A weaker yen makes Japanese exports cheaper and more competitive abroad, while also making Japan an attractive and affordable travel destination. As Japan's cultural relevance in on the global stage continues to grow, this is a great time for bilingual professionals to enter industries that work internationally, like the export or tourism sector.
Higher Import Costs:
- Conversely, a weaker yen makes imports more expensive. This can lead to higher costs for raw materials and international goods. Japan imports 90% of its energy and 42% of its food.
Inflation Pressure:
- Increased import costs can contribute to inflation, making imported goods more expensive for consumers in Japan. This inflationary pressure is already affecting the prices of everyday items, however, despite noticeable inflation, Japan remains extremely affordable compared to other countries around the world. Rapid inflation in the rest of the world stands in stark contrast to the affordability of life in Japan.
Foreign Investment:
- A weaker yen can also attract foreign investment as assets in Japan become cheaper for investors using stronger currencies. This can lead to capital inflows, boosting certain sectors and potentially creating employment opportunities.
Tips for Foreign Professionals Accepting Positions in Japan
Salary Negotiation:
- When negotiating your salary, consider the negotiation from both a domestic and international perspective. Does your salary afford you a comfortable living in Japan? However, if you exchange that number to your home currency while the yen is weak the salary might not seem as attractive. But remember that currency exchange rates fluctuate, so if you plan to work in Japan for several years, a big-picture perspective might be helpful during salary negotiations.
Exchange Rate Risks:
- If you plan to send money home, exchange rate fluctuations can affect the amount received in your home currency. Consider financial planning strategies to mitigate this risk, such as setting up a foreign currency account or using hedging options.
Contract Terms:
- Review the terms of your employment contract carefully. Be aware of the benefits your company provides for you, such as housing, phone, or transportation allowance. In addition, many companies will give their employees incremental raises in their salary for learning new skills, There are several avenues for you to increase your value and salary in Japanese companies so ask your colleagues or HR about such opportunities.
Tax Implications:
- Understand the tax obligations for foreign workers in Japan. If you are a resident of Japan and work in a local company you have to pay Japanese taxes, in fact, local taxes including social insurance are automatically deducted from your salary. Failing to pay taxes in Japan can lead to fines or even the cancelation of your residence status in the country. And, depending on your home country, you might have additional tax responsibilities in your home country as well. Consulting with a tax advisor can help you navigate these complexities.
Economic Indicators:
- Stay informed about Japan’s economic indicators and policies. Changes in monetary policy, trade balances, and economic performance can affect the yen's value and your financial situation.
Financial Planning:
- Engage in prudent financial planning. Consider saving and investing in diverse assets to mitigate risks associated with currency fluctuations and economic changes.
Cultural Adaptation:
- Beyond financial considerations, prepare for cultural adaptation. Studying the language, learning about business manners, and proactively learning about the idiosyncracies of Japanese work culture. It's not easy, especially because Japanese culture and language don't allow for direct expressions of one's thoughts, however, be observant, ask questions, show genuine curiosity, and find like-minded people to share notes and experiences with.
Conclusion
The weak yen presents both opportunities and challenges for the Japanese labor market and foreign professionals considering positions in Japan. By understanding the economic factors behind the yen's weakness and being mindful of the associated risks and strategies, foreign workers can make informed decisions and maximize their professional and financial well-being in Japan.
If you are looking for a job in Japan, email us at info@izanau.com.
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